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The Democratic Party’s midterm outlook has been hampered by President Joe Biden’s low approval rating, high gas prices and a shaky economy, but the tables may be turning in a more favorable direction for the party. months before the heated 2022 midterm elections.
Political pundits have predicted a red tide, but the mood of the electorate may be changing in the final months before November. On Thursday, the Cook Political Report called control of the Senate this fall a “toss-up,” after recent polls suggested several Republican candidates are trailing their Democratic opponents in key races.
Cook recently changed the Pennsylvania Senate race between Dr. Mehmet Oz and Lt. Gov. John Fetterman from a “democracy” to “lean Democrat.” Another AARP/Fabrizio Ward & Impact Research poll suggested Gov. Gretchen Whitmer was leading the race for governor against Trump-endorsed Tudor Dixon.
A Fox News poll of Wisconsin voters found Barnes leading Johnson 50 to 46 percent. Another Arizona Fox poll reported that Sen. Mark Kelly has an 8-point lead over one-win Blake Masters in the Senate race.
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While attending the Northern Kentucky Chamber of Commerce luncheon Thursday, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell revealed his skepticism about the midterms: “I think when it’s all said and done this fall, it’s likely that we have an extremely close Senate. On either side. up slightly or side up slightly.”
Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell said he thinks the House is “probably more likely to change than the Senate.”
(AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)
Democratic National Committee (DNC) chief spokeswoman Elena Kuhn told Fox News in an exclusive statement that she believes Democrats are in a strong position heading into the final stages of the midterms.
“President Biden and the Democrats have delivered victory after victory to the American people,” Kuhn said. “We took on special interests and won by passing the wildly popular Inflation Reduction Act to lower costs for families and finally make big corporations pay their fair share. We gave veterans the care health care they deserve, expanded American manufacturing to compete with China and create good-paying jobs, made a once-in-a-generation investment in our infrastructure, and passed the American Rescue Plan, which led to historically low unemployment and record job growth.”
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“Voters will have a clear choice in November between Democrats who delivered and Republicans who have repeatedly tried to stand in the way and are pushing an extreme agenda that costs families,” Kuhn concluded.
Republicans are racing to regain control of the Senate and House of Representatives this fall, hoping that Biden’s continually low approval rating and big spending by Democrats will encourage more Americans to vote for Republican candidates in November.
US President Joe Biden has maintained a low approval rating for several months.
(Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)
Nathan Brand, a spokesman for the Republican National Committee (RNC), said he sees recent Democratic political “victories” as big vulnerabilities for Democratic candidates in the fall.
“Joe Biden is one of the least popular presidents in modern history, Democrats are counting tax hikes as ‘wins,’ and Americans are living paycheck to paycheck,” Brand said. “Democrats have enriched special interests on the left and done nothing to ease the pain Americans suffer every day because of Joe Biden. Biden remains a burden to every Democrat running in November “.
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President Joe Biden has been barred by a subpar approval rating all year. In June, his national approval reached an all-time low of his presidency at 31%. Also, many Democratic representatives, primarily those seeking re-election this fall, have been hesitant to endorse the president for a run in 2024, with some saying he should not seek re-election at all.
In June, inflation hit a 40-year high of 9.1% and prices for gas and consumer goods were soaring. The most recent gross domestic product (GDP) fell 0.6 percentage points to 8.5% in July, but is still significantly higher than the same period last year. After the reports, Biden’s approval rating saw a slight increase, but remains low.
US President Joe Biden saw a slight boost in his national approval following the big week of Democratic legislation.
(Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)
Despite economic setbacks, Democrats have celebrated recent victories in recent weeks, starting with the primary election in Kansas, where abortion was on the ballot. Kansas voters rejected a state constitutional amendment to allow restrictions on abortion.
Abortion, a major midterm issue after the Supreme Court’s June decision to overturn Roe v. Wade and return the issue to the states, had its first test on the ballot earlier this summer. Kansas voters went to the polls to overwhelmingly reject an amendment to make it easier for lawmakers to ban abortion in the state. The result in a typically reliably red state surprised many political observers and affirmed what many Democrats had been saying since the Dobbs ruling: Abortion is a winning issue.
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Democrats’ success in passing the CHIPS and Science Act, the bipartisan PACT Act, and ultimately the controversial Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 have also provided them with campaign victories to send messages to voters in half term
The Inflation Reduction Act, which is a bigger version of the failed Build Back Better Act, was introduced by Sen. Joe Manchin, DW.Va., and Sen. Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., after months of negotiations The bill was quickly brought up in the House and Senate for a vote, before heading to the president’s desk where it was signed into law.
Biden recently signed the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022.
(Drew Anger/Getty Images)
The new tax and climate legislation received severe backlash, after several reports found that the IRS provision of the bill would hire approximately 87,000 new agents and potentially increase audits of working-class Americans. The Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT) reported that the bill would raise taxes on people earning less than $400,000 a year and have little impact on reducing inflation.
Several polls suggest the Democrat’s focus on climate change and abortion access is motivating his base more than addressing inflation and economic concerns, which could indicate that recent legislation addressing climate change and the crackdown on the SCOTUS abortion decision are factors in Biden’s slight boost. in approval and a more favorable perspective of the Senate.
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House Republican Leader Kevin McCarthy recently spoke with Fox News about the midterm elections. “We win the majority, and I’ll be the speaker,” he said, revealing the GOP remains confident they’ll come out on top this November given the current political climate.
Aubrie Spady is a freelance production assistant at Fox News Digital.